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What will be the outcome of the current Israel-Hamas negotiations in Doha by March 31, 2025?
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Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Mossad•Shin Bet•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Doha•Qatar•Gaza•United States•Egypt•Hamas
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement (e.g., hostage release only) • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from involved parties and major news outlets
Story
Netanyahu Sends Delegation to Qatar to Negotiate Gaza Ceasefire and Release of 100 Hostages
Jan 2, 2025, 09:49 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has authorized a delegation, composed of representatives from the Mossad, the Shin Bet, and the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), to travel to Doha, Qatar, to resume negotiations aimed at securing a ceasefire and the release of 100 hostages in Gaza. The delegation is set to depart on Friday, following a period of stalled talks that have persisted for 15 months. The negotiations are part of ongoing efforts mediated by Qatar, the United States, and Egypt to end the conflict. Hamas has also expressed willingness to engage in these discussions, with some optimism noted among its officials about reaching a successful outcome this time.
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Similar markets
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
Hostage exchange deal finalized • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Hostage Release Only • 25%
Prisoner Exchange • 25%
Other • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Temporary truce without formal agreement • 25%
Ceasefire with terms agreed • 25%
Other • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Permanent ceasefire agreed • 25%
Temporary ceasefire agreed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Neither • 25%
Hostage release only • 25%
Partial hostage release • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
New hostages taken • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
Complete ceasefire agreement • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Partial release • 25%
Hostages not released • 25%
Successful ceasefire and all hostages released • 25%
Negotiations postponed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement with some hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire with Hostage Release • 25%
Hostage Release without Ceasefire • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%