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What will be the outcome of negotiations between Syrian rebel factions and international entities by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace Agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased Hostilities • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcements or agreements published by international bodies or news agencies
Story
Mohammed al-Bashir Appointed Syria’s HTS-Linked Transitional PM Until March 2025
Dec 10, 2024, 01:51 PM
Mohammed al-Bashir has been appointed as the transitional prime minister of Syria following the collapse of Bashar al-Assad's regime. Al-Bashir, who previously led the HTS-linked Syrian Salvation Government in Idlib, will oversee the transitional government until March 1, 2025. His appointment comes as part of efforts to manage the power transition and prevent chaos in the country. The decision was made by rebel factions who now control Damascus. Al-Bashir, born in Idlib in 1983, holds a degree in electrical engineering from Aleppo University and has been involved in governance in Idlib for several years.
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Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Autonomous region for Kurds • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
National unity government formed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Discussions ongoing • 25%
Full reconciliation achieved • 25%
Partial reconciliation achieved • 25%
No reconciliation achieved • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Formal alliance • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Full Surrender • 25%
Partial Surrender • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Partition of Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Opposition gains significant ground • 25%
Regime maintains current positions • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Government gains significant ground • 25%
Rebels gain significant ground • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Regime Change • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Full control and recognized government • 25%
Partial control with ongoing conflict • 25%
Regime reestablished • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Rebels establish new government • 25%
Stalemate situation • 25%
International intervention leads to resolution • 25%
Assad Regime remains in power • 25%
Rebel forces take control • 25%
International intervention leads to new governance • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%