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What will be the outcome of the Syrian political transition talks by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
National unity government formed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the UN or Syrian government
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UN Envoy Pedersen Urges Immediate Geneva Talks for Syrian Political Transition
Dec 7, 2024, 03:42 PM
Geir Pedersen, the UN Special Envoy for Syria, has called for urgent political talks in Geneva to implement UN Security Council Resolution 2254 amid rapidly changing conditions in the country. Pedersen emphasized the need for an organized political transition in Syria, stating that the situation is changing by the minute. He urged for calm, the avoidance of bloodshed, and the protection of civilians. Additionally, sources revealed a circulating roadmap for a solution in Syria, which includes the formation of a national unity government and the implementation of Resolution 2254. Pedersen's call for talks has been supported by the foreign ministers of Iran, Turkey, and Russia, who have agreed to hold discussions in Geneva, with a date to be announced shortly.
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International intervention • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New government formed • 25%
Prolonged conflict • 25%
Transition to an inclusive government • 25%
Partial political reforms • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Partition of Syria • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Partial reconciliation achieved • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Full reconciliation achieved • 25%
No reconciliation achieved • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Increased Hostilities • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stable government formed • 25%
Ongoing political instability • 25%
Return of Assad's regime • 25%
Partial Surrender • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Full Surrender • 25%
Rebels gain significant ground • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Government gains significant ground • 25%
Opposition takes control • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Assad regime retains control • 25%
Formal alliance • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Autonomous region for Kurds • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%