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Will there be a major military conflict in Damascus by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international news agencies or the United Nations
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Mohammed al-Bashir Appointed Syria’s HTS-Linked Transitional PM Until March 2025
Dec 10, 2024, 01:51 PM
Mohammed al-Bashir has been appointed as the transitional prime minister of Syria following the collapse of Bashar al-Assad's regime. Al-Bashir, who previously led the HTS-linked Syrian Salvation Government in Idlib, will oversee the transitional government until March 1, 2025. His appointment comes as part of efforts to manage the power transition and prevent chaos in the country. The decision was made by rebel factions who now control Damascus. Al-Bashir, born in Idlib in 1983, holds a degree in electrical engineering from Aleppo University and has been involved in governance in Idlib for several years.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Assad retains control • 25%
Rebels take control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Shared control • 25%
Controlled by Syrian rebels • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
Joint Control • 25%
Armed Opposition • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham • 25%
International Coalition • 25%
Other Rebel Groups • 25%
Opposition forces • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Russian forces • 25%
Syrian Government Forces • 25%