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What will be the outcome of initial disarmament talks between PKK and Turkey by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Talks successfully initiated • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
Talks fail to start • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Official statements or reports from Turkish government or PKK
Story
PKK Leader Abdullah Ocalan Offers Support for Disarmament Talks with Turkey's Bahçeli and Erdoğan to End 40-Year Conflict
Dec 29, 2024, 09:37 AM
Abdullah Ocalan, the imprisoned leader of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), has expressed a willingness to engage in talks with the Turkish government regarding disarmament. In a recent message, Ocalan stated that he possesses the competence and determination to contribute positively to a new paradigm empowered by Turkish leaders Devlet Bahçeli and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. He emphasized the historical responsibility to strengthen Turkish-Kurdish brotherhood as part of this initiative. Ocalan's message marks a potential step toward ending a conflict that has persisted for 40 years, as he extends his support for fostering fraternity between Kurds and Turks.
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Similar markets
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
PKK/YPG partially disarms • 25%
PKK/YPG disarms completely • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
PKK/YPG refuses to disarm • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
No agreement, continued tensions • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
PKK remains active • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
PKK self-dissolves • 25%
PKK eliminated by Turkey • 25%
