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What will be the outcome of Turkey's efforts to eliminate the PKK by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
PKK self-dissolves • 25%
PKK eliminated by Turkey • 25%
PKK remains active • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from international organizations or major news outlets
Story
Erdoğan Declares End Near for PKK and Syrian Offshoots, Vows to Create Terror-Free Turkey and Support New Syrian Government
Dec 25, 2024, 10:01 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has declared that the end is near for the PKK and its Syrian offshoots, asserting that there is no place for any terrorist organizations, including ISIS and PKK, in the future of Syria and the region. Speaking at various events, Erdoğan emphasized that the PKK and its extensions will either self-dissolve or be eliminated. He also vowed to create a terror-free Turkey in the upcoming period, utilizing all state resources to achieve this goal. Erdoğan's remarks come amid speculation of an imminent Turkish-backed rebel offensive against the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces. Additionally, he reiterated Turkey's commitment to support Syria's new government and eliminate terror threats in northern Syria, pledging to protect Syria's territorial integrity and political unity.
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No success • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
No significant change • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Increased PKK activity • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Complete withdrawal of Kurdish militants • 25%
Increased Kurdish militant presence • 25%
No change in militant presence • 25%
Significant reduction in militant activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Complete success • 25%
YPG disbanded • 25%
YPG relocated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
YPG remains • 25%
Significant reduction of PKK/YPG activities • 25%
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased PKK/YPG activities • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%