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Will a formal ceasefire agreement be reached between PKK and Turkey by December 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements or agreements published by the Turkish government or PKK
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PKK Leader Abdullah Ocalan Offers Support for Disarmament Talks with Turkey's Bahçeli and Erdoğan to End 40-Year Conflict
Dec 29, 2024, 09:37 AM
Abdullah Ocalan, the imprisoned leader of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), has expressed a willingness to engage in talks with the Turkish government regarding disarmament. In a recent message, Ocalan stated that he possesses the competence and determination to contribute positively to a new paradigm empowered by Turkish leaders Devlet Bahçeli and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. He emphasized the historical responsibility to strengthen Turkish-Kurdish brotherhood as part of this initiative. Ocalan's message marks a potential step toward ending a conflict that has persisted for 40 years, as he extends his support for fostering fraternity between Kurds and Turks.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement, continued tensions • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%