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What will be the outcome of China's reunification efforts with Taiwan by 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased diplomatic talks • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal reunification • 25%
Official statements from the Chinese and Taiwanese governments
Story
Xi Jinping Announces China's 2024 GDP Growth Target of Around 5%, Promises Proactive Policies in 2025
Dec 31, 2024, 12:30 PM
Chinese President Xi Jinping announced that China's GDP is expected to grow around 5% in 2024, signaling that the world's second-largest economy is on track to meet its official target. Xi made these remarks at a New Year's event, emphasizing that the economy has been 'overall stable and progressing amid stability.' He also indicated that support for the economy would continue into 2025, with a commitment to implementing more proactive macroeconomic policies as part of the 14th Five-Year Plan. Despite external uncertainties and challenges in shifting to new growth drivers, Xi called for confidence in overcoming these hurdles. Additionally, he reiterated the Communist Party's stance on Taiwan, asserting that no one can stop China's reunification efforts. Xi also mentioned a shift to a 'moderately loose' policy stance to support economic growth.
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Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation into conflict • 25%
Increased military cooperation between Taiwan and allies • 25%
Military conflict initiation • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
De-escalation and withdrawal • 25%
Diplomatic resolution without military change • 25%
Escalation leading to military conflict • 25%
Continued military presence without escalation • 25%
De-escalation and withdrawal of forces • 25%
Significant conflict • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Continued military standoff • 25%
De-escalation and withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
Increased military activity • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strengthened alliances • 25%
Sanctions imposed on China • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation by major international bodies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased support for China from other countries • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan from other countries • 25%
U.N. intervention • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal diplomatic protests • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Exercises conclude peacefully • 25%