Loading...
Market
What will be the international response to U.S.-China tensions over Taiwan by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
U.N. intervention • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan from other countries • 25%
Increased support for China from other countries • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Statements from international organizations or major countries, verified news reports
Story
China Demands U.S. Halt Arms Sales, Military Contacts with Taiwan
Dec 2, 2024, 08:32 AM
China has issued a strong warning to the United States, demanding an immediate end to arms sales to Taiwan and the cessation of all official exchanges and military contacts with the region. The Chinese government has reiterated its firm opposition to any form of official interaction between the U.S. and Taiwan, urging Washington to fulfill its commitment to not support 'Taiwan independence.' A Chinese defense spokesperson further emphasized that the U.S. should not aid or abet separatist activities in Taiwan.
View original story
Similar markets
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by major international bodies • 25%
Sanctions imposed on China • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
Diplomatic mediation efforts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military deterrence • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan • 25%
Condemnation of U.S. actions • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military cooperation between Taiwan and allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation into conflict • 25%
Condemnation from UN • 25%
Joint military drills with Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Calls for diplomatic talks • 25%
Increased military presence in region • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
US military support to Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by major powers • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed • 25%
Military alliance support for Taiwan • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Issue condemnations • 25%
Impose sanctions • 25%
Military support for Taiwan • 25%
No significant response • 25%