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What will be the outcome of any new peace proposal involving Ukraine and NATO by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Accepted by all parties • 25%
Rejected by Russia • 25%
Rejected by Ukraine • 25%
No new proposal made • 25%
Official announcements from NATO, Ukrainian government, or major international news agencies
Story
Russia Rejects Trump’s Ukraine Ceasefire Proposal, Dismisses 20-Year NATO Membership Delay and Peacekeepers
Dec 29, 2024, 12:14 PM
Russia has firmly rejected former President Donald Trump's calls for a ceasefire in Ukraine, labeling the proposal as 'a path to nowhere.' This dismissal was reiterated by Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, who also expressed dissatisfaction with Trump's suggestion to postpone Ukraine's NATO membership for 20 years and to introduce European and British peacekeepers in the region. Lavrov emphasized that Russia will not accept these terms, reaffirming the country's longstanding position against Ukraine's NATO accession, regardless of the timeframe. The rejection of Trump's proposals indicates ongoing tensions in the region and highlights the complexities surrounding potential negotiations.
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Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine receives no further NATO support • 25%
Ukraine remains outside NATO with increased cooperation • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
No significant change • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership rejected • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Membership negotiations started • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Receives alternative guarantees • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Withdraws membership request • 25%
Achieves NATO membership • 25%
Ukraine abandons NATO ambitions • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Ukraine continues NATO ambitions • 25%
Territorial concessions by Russia • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Territorial concessions by Ukraine • 25%
Mutual concessions • 25%
Full peace agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement, no territorial changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing talks • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%