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What will be the outcome for North Korean soldiers in Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority withdrawn • 25%
Majority remain • 25%
Majority captured • 25%
Majority casualties • 25%
Credible news reports and official statements from involved parties
Story
Over 3,000 North Korean Soldiers Killed or Wounded in Ukraine, Some Choosing Suicide Over Capture
Dec 30, 2024, 09:50 AM
North Korean soldiers deployed to Russia's Kursk region to fight alongside Russian forces in Ukraine are experiencing significant casualties, with over 3,000 reported killed or wounded. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has stated that these soldiers, numbering around 12,000, are being sent into battle with minimal protection, resulting in high losses. The White House has confirmed that in the last week alone, approximately 1,000 North Korean troops were killed or injured in Kursk during human wave attacks. Reports also indicate that some North Korean soldiers are choosing suicide over capture by Ukrainian forces, driven by fears of reprisals against their families back home. This situation underscores the severe conditions and the human cost of the ongoing conflict.
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Significant North Korean losses • 25%
Withdrawal without significant impact • 25%
North Korea achieves military objectives • 25%
Stalemate with Ukrainian forces • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Held as prisoner of war • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Peace agreement involving North Korea • 25%
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate with current forces • 25%
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No change in involvement • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Increased involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Increased tensions with other nations • 25%
Minimal impact on conflict • 25%
Significant strategic advantage for Russia • 25%
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions against North Korea • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
