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Will any captured North Korean soldiers choose to remain in Ukraine by February 28, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Statements from Ukrainian officials or verified news reports
Story
Zelensky Proposes Exchange of Captured North Korean Soldiers for Ukrainians Held by Russia
Jan 12, 2025, 06:57 PM
On Sunday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukraine is prepared to return captured North Korean soldiers to North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in exchange for Ukrainian soldiers held captive in Russia. Zelensky shared footage of the first interrogations of the North Korean soldiers, who were reportedly the first of their kind captured by Ukrainian forces in Russia's Kursk region. He stated, "Ukraine is ready to hand over Kim Jong Un's soldiers to him if he can organize their exchange for our warriors who are being held captive in Russia." For those North Korean soldiers who do not wish to return, Zelensky indicated that alternative arrangements could be made.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Retained in Ukraine • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Unknown outcome • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Retained as POWs • 25%
Tried in Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Other • 25%
Held as prisoners of war • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Majority captured • 25%
Majority withdrawn • 25%
Majority remain • 25%
Majority casualties • 25%