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What will be the outcome for the captured North Korean soldier in Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
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South Korea•National Intelligence Service•NIS•Ukrainian•North Korean•Russia•Yonhap News Agency•Kursk•Ukraine
Resolution / Starting Odds
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Held as prisoner of war • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Reports from Ukrainian government or international media
Story
South Korea Confirms Ukraine Captured Injured North Korean Soldier Dispatched to Russia
Dec 27, 2024, 12:52 AM
South Korea's National Intelligence Service (NIS) has confirmed that Ukrainian forces have captured an injured North Korean soldier who was dispatched to Russia, according to Yonhap News Agency. The soldier was reportedly captured in the Kursk region, marking the first such instance if verified. This development suggests possible involvement of North Korean troops in the Ukraine conflict.
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Other outcome • 25%
Defects to Ukraine • 25%
Held as prisoner of war • 25%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Majority casualties • 25%
Majority withdrawn • 25%
Majority remain • 25%
Majority captured • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Calls for investigation • 25%
Condemnation of North Korea • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Withdrawal without significant impact • 25%
Significant North Korean losses • 25%
Stalemate with Ukrainian forces • 25%
North Korea achieves military objectives • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Stalemate with current forces • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Increased involvement • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Peace agreement involving North Korea • 25%
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%