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What will be the main challenges in implementing the Israel-Hamas ceasefire deal?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Security concerns • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%
Economic issues • 25%
Humanitarian aid logistics • 25%
Analyses and reports from major news outlets or think tanks
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Israel and Hamas Reach Ceasefire and Hostage Release Deal in Doha, U.S. Officials Confirm
Jan 15, 2025, 04:37 PM
A ceasefire and hostage release deal between Israel and Hamas has been reached following negotiations in Doha, according to multiple U.S. officials cited by Axios reporter Barak Ravid. The agreement is expected to be announced in the coming hours, as confirmed by an Arab official to The Times of Israel. The deal aims to halt the ongoing conflict in Gaza and facilitate the release of hostages.
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Other • 25%
Political Disagreements • 25%
Security Issues • 25%
Humanitarian Concerns • 25%
Reconstruction and border opening • 25%
Initial ceasefire and hostage exchange • 25%
Withdrawal of Israeli forces • 25%
Exchange of bodies • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other focus • 25%
Economic aid and ceasefire • 25%
Staged withdrawal and ceasefire • 25%
Hostage release and ceasefire • 25%
Ceasefire breaks and hostages not released • 25%
Ceasefire breaks but hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire holds but hostages not released • 25%
Ceasefire holds and hostages released • 25%
60-day ceasefire agreed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement with modifications • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Extension of ceasefire • 25%
Resumption of hostilities • 25%
New negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Mediation Challenges • 25%
Hostage Release Issues • 25%
Ceasefire Terms • 25%
Other • 25%
No exchange • 25%
Complete exchange • 25%
Partial exchange • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Information on Avera Mengistu and Hisham al-Sayed received • 25%
Yahya Sinwar's body returned • 25%
Hadar Goldin's body returned • 25%