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Will the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas hold for one week after implementation?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major news outlets on ceasefire violations
Story
Israeli Officials Report Breakthrough in Doha Negotiations; Hostage Deal with Hamas Could Be Signed Today
Jan 15, 2025, 12:36 PM
Israeli officials report a breakthrough in negotiations in Doha over a hostage and ceasefire deal with Hamas, with major issues now resolved. They are optimistic that the agreement could be signed today or by tomorrow at the latest. According to the officials, Hamas military leader in Gaza, Mohammed Sinwar, has approved the deal. Israeli government ministries have been instructed to prepare for the possible return of hostages. The agreement could be announced as soon as tomorrow and implemented within two days thereafter.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Extension of ceasefire • 25%
Resumption of hostilities • 25%
Partial reduction in hostilities • 25%
Complete cessation of hostilities • 25%
No change in hostilities • 25%
Increase in hostilities • 25%
