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What will be the change in HTS's international status by end of 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Recognized as legitimate by UN • 25%
Recognized by additional countries • 25%
Maintains current status • 25%
Designated as terrorist by new entities • 25%
Reports from international organizations or major news outlets
Story
Turkey's Hakan Fidan Recognizes HTS as Legitimate Partner, Calls for EU to Remove Terrorist Designation After 10 Years
Dec 21, 2024, 09:59 AM
Turkey has officially recognized the Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) group as a legitimate partner and has called on the European Union to remove it from its list of terrorist organizations. Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan stated that HTS has distanced itself from radical elements such as Al-Qaeda and ISIS, asserting that the group has not engaged in any terrorist activities over the past decade, a claim supported by Western intelligence agencies. Fidan emphasized that HTS has been cooperative with Turkey in intelligence gathering related to groups linked to ISIS and Al-Qaeda. He also noted that communication and discussions with the Syrian government have already commenced, with international officials from the UN and EU involved in the process.
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Remains as a terrorist organization • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Removed as a terrorist organization • 25%
Re-designated with conditions • 25%
Recognized as non-terrorist • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Under review • 25%
Remains on terrorist lists • 25%
Removed from terrorist list • 25%
No change • 25%
Reclassified under different terms • 25%
Retains terrorist designation • 25%
Reinstatement of bounty • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Formal alliance • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Supportive response • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Critical response • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Negotiations end without agreement • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Complete disengagement • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Continued engagement • 25%
Recognized as legitimate government • 25%
Other stance • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Condemned and sanctioned • 25%
Expansion of territory • 25%
Increased international engagement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reduction in territory • 25%
