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What will be HTS's status after US talks by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Removed from terrorist list • 25%
Retains terrorist designation • 25%
Reclassified under different terms • 25%
No change • 25%
Announcements from US or international bodies regarding HTS
Story
US Diplomat to Hold First Formal Talks with HTS Leader in Damascus
Dec 19, 2024, 07:36 PM
The United States is set to reengage diplomatically with Syria as Barbara Leaf, the State Department's top diplomat for the Middle East, plans to lead a delegation to Damascus in the coming days. This visit could mark the first formal U.S. contact with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). Leaf is expected to meet with HTS leader Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, who has a $10 million U.S. bounty on him. Discussions are anticipated to focus on Syria's political transition, addressing security concerns, and possibly reevaluating HTS's designation as a terrorist organization. European countries, such as Germany, have recently initiated dialogue with HTS representatives following a recent offensive by the group, signaling a shift in international relations with HTS.
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Recognized as legitimate by UN • 25%
Recognized by additional countries • 25%
Maintains current status • 25%
Designated as terrorist by new entities • 25%
Formal alliance • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
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Reinstatement of bounty • 25%
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Recognized as non-terrorist • 25%
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Continued engagement • 25%
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Military intervention • 25%
Complete disengagement • 25%
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Political transition agreement • 25%
Release of U.S. citizens • 25%
Both agreements • 25%
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Full restoration with multiple countries • 25%
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Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Removed as a terrorist organization • 25%
Remains as a terrorist organization • 25%
Re-designated with conditions • 25%
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UN supports US decision • 25%
EU supports US decision • 25%
Russia condemns US decision • 25%
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Turkey • 25%
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Qatar • 25%
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