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How will the international community respond to US-HTS talks by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Supportive response • 25%
Critical response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from NATO, EU, or other international bodies
Story
US Diplomat to Hold First Formal Talks with HTS Leader in Damascus
Dec 19, 2024, 07:36 PM
The United States is set to reengage diplomatically with Syria as Barbara Leaf, the State Department's top diplomat for the Middle East, plans to lead a delegation to Damascus in the coming days. This visit could mark the first formal U.S. contact with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). Leaf is expected to meet with HTS leader Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, who has a $10 million U.S. bounty on him. Discussions are anticipated to focus on Syria's political transition, addressing security concerns, and possibly reevaluating HTS's designation as a terrorist organization. European countries, such as Germany, have recently initiated dialogue with HTS representatives following a recent offensive by the group, signaling a shift in international relations with HTS.
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UN supports US decision • 25%
EU supports US decision • 25%
Russia condemns US decision • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Negotiations end without agreement • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Formal alliance • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Reinstatement of bounty • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Continued engagement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Complete disengagement • 25%
Direct negotiations • 25%
Indirect engagement • 25%
No engagement • 25%
Sanctioned actions • 25%
Recognized as legitimate by UN • 25%
Recognized by additional countries • 25%
Maintains current status • 25%
Designated as terrorist by new entities • 25%
Full restoration with multiple countries • 25%
Partial restoration with some countries • 25%
No restoration achieved • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Russia • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other countries • 25%
Recognized as legitimate government • 25%
Condemned and sanctioned • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other stance • 25%
Political transition agreement • 25%
Release of U.S. citizens • 25%
Both agreements • 25%
No significant agreement • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other actions • 25%