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What will be the change in HTS's designation by the U.S. by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Removed as a terrorist organization • 25%
Remains as a terrorist organization • 25%
Re-designated with conditions • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Official U.S. government announcements or statements from the U.S. Department of State
Story
Blinken: U.S. in Direct Contact with HTS Over Assad's Ouster and Austin Tice
Dec 14, 2024, 04:39 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, speaking during his Middle East trip in Jordan, has confirmed that the United States has been in direct contact with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), the Syrian rebel group under the leadership of Abu Mohammed al-Jolani that overthrew President Bashar al-Assad's government. Despite HTS being designated as a terrorist organization, Blinken stated, 'We are in direct contact with HTS and other parties in Syria,' indicating a significant shift in U.S. policy. Discussions with HTS have focused on the issue of missing American journalist Austin Tice and stressing U.S. principles for recognizing a future Syrian government. Blinken mentioned that the U.S. will review sanctions against HTS after assessing their actions. The international community is closely monitoring HTS's governance structures and potential impact on Syria's future.
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Recognized as legitimate by UN • 25%
Designated as terrorist by new entities • 25%
Maintains current status • 25%
Recognized by additional countries • 25%
Reclassified under different terms • 25%
No change • 25%
Removed from terrorist list • 25%
Retains terrorist designation • 25%
Increased engagement • 25%
Other policy changes • 25%
Conditional engagement • 25%
Continued isolation • 25%
Recognized as non-terrorist • 25%
Remains on terrorist lists • 25%
Under review • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Negotiations end without agreement • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Reinstatement of bounty • 25%
Formal alliance • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Political transition • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Other focus • 25%
Continued engagement • 25%
Complete disengagement • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Increased international engagement • 25%
Reduction in territory • 25%
Expansion of territory • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
CIA • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Department of State • 25%
Russia condemns US decision • 25%
UN supports US decision • 25%
EU supports US decision • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Designation is modified • 25%
Other • 25%
Designation is removed • 25%
Designation remains unchanged • 25%