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What will be the primary focus of U.S.-HTS discussions by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Political transition • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Other focus • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies or official statements from involved parties
Story
US Diplomat to Hold First Formal Talks with HTS Leader in Damascus
Dec 19, 2024, 07:36 PM
The United States is set to reengage diplomatically with Syria as Barbara Leaf, the State Department's top diplomat for the Middle East, plans to lead a delegation to Damascus in the coming days. This visit could mark the first formal U.S. contact with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). Leaf is expected to meet with HTS leader Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, who has a $10 million U.S. bounty on him. Discussions are anticipated to focus on Syria's political transition, addressing security concerns, and possibly reevaluating HTS's designation as a terrorist organization. European countries, such as Germany, have recently initiated dialogue with HTS representatives following a recent offensive by the group, signaling a shift in international relations with HTS.
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Economic sanctions • 25%
Military sanctions • 25%
Travel restrictions • 25%
Other focus • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
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Turkey • 25%
Russia • 25%
Qatar • 25%
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Removed as a terrorist organization • 25%
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Re-designated with conditions • 25%
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Recognized as non-terrorist • 25%
Remains on terrorist lists • 25%
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Political transition agreement • 25%
Release of U.S. citizens • 25%
Both agreements • 25%
No significant agreement • 25%