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What will be Iran's response to Trump's negotiation proposal by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Accepts and begins negotiations • 25%
Declines proposal • 25%
Requests modifications • 25%
No response by deadline • 25%
Official announcements from the Iranian government or trusted news sources
Story
Sullivan Warns Weakened Iran May Seek Nuclear Weapon; Trump Proposes Talks via Oman
Dec 22, 2024, 05:48 PM
White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan has expressed concern that Iran may seek to develop a nuclear weapon following recent setbacks that have weakened its conventional capabilities, including Israeli attacks. Sullivan told CNN on Sunday that "it's no wonder there are voices in Iran saying, 'Hey, maybe we need to go for a nuclear weapon right now... maybe we have to revisit our nuclear doctrine.'" He emphasized that there is a "real risk" that Iran may change its longstanding position of not pursuing nuclear weapons. The Biden administration is briefing President-elect Donald Trump's team on the potential threat, highlighting the urgency of the situation. Meanwhile, reports from Baghdad Alyoum indicate that Trump has sent messages via Oman to Iran proposing negotiations on several issues, including Iran's nuclear program. Trump is reportedly willing to reach an agreement but may only wait a few months for a response. Sullivan expressed hope that Trump would use this opportunity to reach an agreement that limits Iran's nuclear ambitions.
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Acceptance • 25%
Rejection • 25%
Request for more time • 25%
No response • 25%
Activate advanced centrifuges • 25%
Submit a comprehensive report • 25%
Both actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Iran confirms assurances • 25%
Iran denies sending assurances • 25%
Iran issues a new statement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Retaliation against U.S. interests • 25%
Public threat or warning • 25%
Diplomatic engagement or negotiation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
Military action against Israel • 25%
Military action against U.S. forces • 25%
Increased diplomacy • 25%
Retaliatory rhetoric • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
General support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Under Negotiation • 25%
No Proposal Made • 25%
Increase nuclear activities • 25%
Seek negotiations • 25%
Strengthen regional proxies • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Withdraw from NPT • 25%
Increase uranium enrichment • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
