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Market
How will Iran respond to US nuclear talks proposal by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Acceptance • 25%
Rejection • 25%
Request for more time • 25%
No response • 25%
Official announcements from the Iranian government or credible news sources
Story
Trump Proposes Nuclear Talks With Iran Through Oman, Sets Few Months Deadline
Dec 22, 2024, 02:08 PM
Donald Trump has reportedly sent a message to Iran through Oman, proposing high-level talks on various issues, including the nuclear file, according to the Iraqi newspaper Baghdad Alyoum. The message was sent to the administration of Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, with Trump indicating a willingness to negotiate but emphasizing that he would wait only a few months for a response. This comes at a time when Iran is considered weakened, with some sources suggesting that the country might pursue a nuclear weapon due to recent regional setbacks. The White House has acknowledged the possibility of Iran seeking nuclear capabilities as a response to its weakened conventional military strength.
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Accepts and begins negotiations • 25%
Declines proposal • 25%
Requests modifications • 25%
No response by deadline • 25%
Iran confirms assurances • 25%
Iran denies sending assurances • 25%
Iran issues a new statement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Activate advanced centrifuges • 25%
Submit a comprehensive report • 25%
Both actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increase Enrichment • 25%
Diplomatic Engagement • 25%
Military Posturing • 25%
Other • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Talks failed • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Withdraw from NPT • 25%
Increase uranium enrichment • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
New deal agreed • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Talks collapsed • 25%
Temporary agreement • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant action • 25%