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What will be Iran's response to the potential appointment of Richard Grenell as U.S. envoy by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Positive response • 25%
Negative response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Statements from Iranian government or credible news reports
Story
Trump Considers Former Intelligence Chief Richard Grenell for Iran Envoy Role
Dec 12, 2024, 02:17 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly considering appointing Richard Grenell, his former intelligence chief and ex-U.S. Ambassador to Germany, as a special envoy for Iran. This consideration comes from sources familiar with the transition plans, although no final decisions have been made on personnel or strategy regarding Iran. Grenell's potential role would involve handling U.S. policy towards Iran, a position of significant importance given the current geopolitical climate.
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Increased diplomacy • 25%
Retaliatory rhetoric • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
European Union • 25%
Middle Eastern countries • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Focus on diplomacy • 25%
Focus on sanctions • 25%
Focus on military options • 25%
Focus on human rights • 25%
Richard Grenell • 25%
Another former Trump administration official • 25%
A new appointee with no prior Trump administration ties • 25%
No new key appointments • 25%
Accepts and begins negotiations • 25%
Declines proposal • 25%
Requests modifications • 25%
No response by deadline • 25%
Iran confirms assurances • 25%
Iran denies sending assurances • 25%
Iran issues a new statement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Retaliation against U.S. interests • 25%
Public threat or warning • 25%
Diplomatic engagement or negotiation • 25%
No significant action • 25%