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What will be Greenland's political status by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%
Becomes a U.S. territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from Greenlandic, Danish, or U.S. governments
Story
Denmark's Foreign Minister: Greenland May Gain Independence, But Not Become U.S. State Amid Trump's Interest
Jan 8, 2025, 03:51 PM
Denmark's Foreign Minister has stated that Greenland may become independent if its residents desire, but it will not become a U.S. state. This statement comes amidst discussions about Greenland's future, with the Danish government recognizing the island's aspirations for independence while firmly ruling out the possibility of it joining the United States. The comments were made in response to recent remarks by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, who has expressed interest in acquiring Greenland for strategic and economic reasons.
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Similar markets
Joins the U.S. • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%
Gains independence • 25%
Becomes US territory • 25%
Remains under Danish control • 25%
Other • 25%
Independence rejected • 25%
Referendum canceled • 25%
Referendum postponed • 25%
Independence approved • 25%
Increased autonomy • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Becomes U.S. territory • 25%
Maintains current status • 25%
Remain with Denmark • 34%
Independence • 33%
Join the U.S. • 33%
Denmark's sovereignty challenged • 25%
No legal decision made • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Denmark's sovereignty upheld • 25%
Remain with Denmark • 25%
Referendum not held • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Independence • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%