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What will be the outcome of Greenland's independence referendum by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Independence approved • 25%
Independence rejected • 25%
Referendum postponed • 25%
Referendum canceled • 25%
Official results from Greenland's government
Story
Danish PM Declares Greenland Not for Sale, Belongs to Greenlanders Amid Trump's Interest
Jan 7, 2025, 02:08 PM
Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen has firmly stated that Greenland belongs to the Greenlanders and is not for sale, in response to recent actions by Donald Trump Jr., who visited the island amid his father's expressed interest in acquiring it. Frederiksen's comments were made in the context of Greenland's ongoing push for independence, with the island's Prime Minister Múte Egede also asserting Greenland's sovereignty last month. The Danish PM's statement comes as a direct response to President-elect Donald Trump's renewed interest in purchasing Greenland, a move that has been met with resistance from both Greenland and Denmark.
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Similar markets
Independence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Referendum not held • 25%
Remain with Denmark • 25%
Join the U.S. • 33%
Remain with Denmark • 34%
Independence • 33%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Joins the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Gains independence • 25%
Becomes US territory • 25%
Remains under Danish control • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Neutral stance from major countries • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Opposition from major countries • 25%
Support from major countries • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Becomes a U.S. territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%