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What will Greenland decide if a referendum is held by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Independence • 33%
Join the U.S. • 33%
Remain with Denmark • 34%
Official results from the Greenlandic electoral commission or government announcements
Story
Trump Demands Greenland from Denmark for National Security, Threatens High Tariffs Over China, Russia Threats
Jan 7, 2025, 05:26 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has stated that the United States needs Greenland for national security purposes, suggesting that Denmark should relinquish control of the territory to protect the 'free world'. Trump has threatened to impose high tariffs on Denmark if they do not agree to transfer Greenland to the U.S. He has cited the strategic value of Greenland in countering threats from China and Russia, claiming that their ships are visible around the territory. Trump also questioned Denmark's legal right to Greenland, suggesting that the population might vote for independence or to join the U.S. if given the opportunity.
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Independence rejected • 25%
Referendum postponed • 25%
Referendum canceled • 25%
Independence approved • 25%
Remain with Denmark • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Independence • 25%
Referendum not held • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Joins the U.S. • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Gains independence • 25%
Becomes US territory • 25%
Remains under Danish control • 25%
Other • 25%