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What will be the legal outcome regarding Denmark's sovereignty over Greenland by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Denmark's sovereignty upheld • 25%
Denmark's sovereignty challenged • 25%
No legal decision made • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Official court rulings or international legal bodies
Story
Trump Threatens High Tariffs on Denmark for Greenland's National Security
Jan 7, 2025, 06:33 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to impose high tariffs on Denmark if it does not relinquish control of Greenland to the United States. Trump emphasized that Greenland is crucial for U.S. national security and the protection of the free world, citing the presence of Chinese and Russian ships in the region. He questioned whether Denmark has any legal right to Greenland, suggesting that if they do, they should give it up. Trump's comments come amid ongoing tensions over the strategic Arctic island, which he has previously expressed interest in acquiring.
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Other diplomatic/legal action • 25%
Legal challenge at international court • 25%
Bilateral negotiations with US • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Case filed in international court • 25%
Bilateral negotiations without court intervention • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
Other legal development • 25%
Gains independence • 25%
Becomes US territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains under Danish control • 25%
U.S. purchases Greenland • 25%
Denmark rejects proposal • 25%
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Joins the U.S. • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%
Referendum canceled • 25%
Independence approved • 25%
Independence rejected • 25%
Referendum postponed • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Becomes a U.S. territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%
Referendum not held • 25%
Remain with Denmark • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Independence • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Open to negotiations • 25%
Encourages Greenlandic decision • 25%
Firm rejection • 25%