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What will be cited as the main reason for the breakthrough in Israel-Hamas negotiations?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
International Pressure • 25%
Economic Incentives • 25%
Humanitarian Concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from involved parties, major news outlets
Story
Israeli Officials Report Breakthrough in Doha Negotiations; Hostage Deal with Hamas Could Be Signed Today
Jan 15, 2025, 12:36 PM
Israeli officials report a breakthrough in negotiations in Doha over a hostage and ceasefire deal with Hamas, with major issues now resolved. They are optimistic that the agreement could be signed today or by tomorrow at the latest. According to the officials, Hamas military leader in Gaza, Mohammed Sinwar, has approved the deal. Israeli government ministries have been instructed to prepare for the possible return of hostages. The agreement could be announced as soon as tomorrow and implemented within two days thereafter.
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Egypt • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Hamas Actions • 25%
Israeli Actions • 25%
External Influence • 25%
Other • 25%
Egypt • 25%
United States • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete exchange • 25%
Partial exchange • 25%
No exchange • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Steve Witkoff • 25%
Brett McGurk • 25%
Qatari Prime Minister • 25%
David Barnea • 25%
Internal Hamas strategy • 25%
U.S. pressure on Israel • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Lack of international pressure • 25%
Lack of international mediation • 25%
Other • 25%
New Israeli conditions • 25%
Disagreements over hostage release • 25%
US plays the key role • 25%
All equally contribute • 25%
Qatar plays the key role • 25%
Egypt plays the key role • 25%
External interference • 25%
Violation by Hamas • 25%
Violation by Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Other • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
Egypt • 25%
United States • 25%