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What legal actions will Denmark take regarding Greenland's status by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Legal challenge at international court • 25%
Bilateral negotiations with US • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other diplomatic/legal action • 25%
Official announcements from the Danish government or reputable news outlets
Story
Trump Threatens Denmark With High Tariffs Over Greenland, Citing National Security
Jan 7, 2025, 06:33 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has threatened Denmark with 'very high' tariffs if it does not relinquish control of Greenland, an autonomous Danish territory. Trump argued that the U.S. needs Greenland for national security purposes, questioning Denmark's legal rights over the island. He stated that if Denmark has any legal right to Greenland, it should give it up for the sake of the 'free world.' Trump's comments came during a news conference where he also mentioned the presence of Russian and Chinese ships around Greenland, emphasizing the strategic importance of the island. Additionally, Trump's son, Donald Trump Jr., visited Greenland on the same day, though he described the trip as a personal day trip without any planned meetings with government officials.
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Denmark's sovereignty upheld • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
No legal decision made • 25%
Denmark's sovereignty challenged • 25%
Becomes US territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains under Danish control • 25%
Gains independence • 25%
Other legal development • 25%
Case filed in international court • 25%
Bilateral negotiations without court intervention • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%
Joins the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Open to negotiations • 25%
Other response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Firm rejection • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%
Becomes a U.S. territory • 25%
Denmark rejects negotiations • 25%
Denmark remains neutral • 25%
Denmark escalates to EU • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiate • 25%
Remain with Denmark • 34%
Join the U.S. • 33%
Independence • 33%