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What will be the outcome of Trump's threat to impose tariffs on Denmark over Greenland by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Negotiations initiated • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other diplomatic response • 25%
Official announcements from the US or Danish governments or reputable news outlets
Story
Trump Threatens Denmark With High Tariffs Over Greenland, Citing National Security
Jan 7, 2025, 06:33 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has threatened Denmark with 'very high' tariffs if it does not relinquish control of Greenland, an autonomous Danish territory. Trump argued that the U.S. needs Greenland for national security purposes, questioning Denmark's legal rights over the island. He stated that if Denmark has any legal right to Greenland, it should give it up for the sake of the 'free world.' Trump's comments came during a news conference where he also mentioned the presence of Russian and Chinese ships around Greenland, emphasizing the strategic importance of the island. Additionally, Trump's son, Donald Trump Jr., visited Greenland on the same day, though he described the trip as a personal day trip without any planned meetings with government officials.
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Denmark agrees to negotiate • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
U.S. imposes tariffs • 25%
Greenland holds referendum • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No official negotiations initiated • 25%
Purchase completed • 25%
Purchase negotiations ongoing • 25%
Purchase negotiations terminated • 25%
Greenland supports the sale • 25%
Denmark supports the sale • 25%
Greenland opposes the sale • 25%
Denmark opposes the sale • 25%
U.S. purchases Greenland • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%
Denmark rejects proposal • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiations • 25%
Denmark rejects the demand • 25%
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%