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What economic measure will the U.S. primarily use against Canada in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Tariffs on Canadian goods • 25%
Sanctions on Canadian industries • 25%
Restrictions on Canadian investments • 25%
No significant economic measures • 25%
Official U.S. government announcements or credible economic analysis reports
Story
Trump Vows to Use 'Economic Force' to Make Canada 51st State, Dismisses Military Action
Jan 7, 2025, 05:39 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced that he plans to use economic measures to integrate Canada with the United States, ruling out any military action to annex the neighboring country. Describing the U.S.-Canada border as an 'artificially drawn line,' Trump suggested that unifying the two nations would be beneficial economically and militarily. He questioned why the U.S. is 'losing $200 billion and more to protect Canada,' asserting that 'we don't need anything they have.' Trump indicated that economic pressure could be used to achieve closer political alignment, including discouraging purchases of Canadian cars and lumber.
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Similar markets
Tax harmonization • 25%
Trade agreements • 25%
Investment incentives • 25%
Other measures • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Significant tariff reductions • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
Other • 25%
Automotive • 25%
Dairy • 25%
Lumber • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Tariffs negotiated • 25%
Trade agreement revised • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
New trade agreement • 25%
Improved • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Significant trade conflict • 25%
Increased tariffs on US goods • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Energy cutoffs • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Border security • 25%
Fentanyl and drug smuggling • 25%
Other • 25%
Trade • 25%
Canada agrees to new terms • 25%
Dispute unresolved • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
U.S. imposes tariff • 25%