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Market
What economic measures will the US propose to merge with Canada by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Trade agreements • 25%
Investment incentives • 25%
Tax harmonization • 25%
Other measures • 25%
US government announcements or credible news sources
Story
Trump Plans to Use Economic Measures to Merge Canada with the US, Rules Out Military Force
Jan 7, 2025, 05:23 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has explicitly ruled out the use of military force to annex or acquire Canada, stating he would instead employ 'economic force' to merge Canada with the US. In response to questions from reporters, Trump emphasized that using economic measures would be more suitable, suggesting that uniting Canada and the United States 'would really be something' and could be beneficial economically and militarily for both countries.
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Improved GDP growth • 25%
Increased trade deficits • 25%
Economic downturn • 25%
Stable economic indicators • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Restrictions on Canadian investments • 25%
Tariffs on Canadian goods • 25%
Sanctions on Canadian industries • 25%
No significant economic measures • 25%
Supports merger • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No comment • 25%
Opposes merger • 25%
No comment • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Neutral • 25%