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Market
Will the U.S. announce military action to take control of Greenland by the end of 2025?
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Donald Trump•Palm Beach•Florida•Greenland•Panama Canal•David Sanger•The New York Times•United States•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense or statements from the White House
Story
President-elect Trump Won't Rule Out Military or Economic Coercion to Take Greenland, Panama Canal
Jan 7, 2025, 05:09 PM
President-elect Donald Trump, speaking in Palm Beach, Florida, refused to rule out the use of military force or economic coercion to take control of Greenland and the Panama Canal. When asked by reporter David Sanger of The New York Times if he could assure the world that the United States would not use military or economic means to gain control of these areas, Trump responded, 'No. I can't assure you on either of those two. We need them for economic security. It might be that you'll have to do something.'
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Similar markets
Military actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Economic actions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No Action • 25%
Negotiations start • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Greenland becomes U.S. territory • 25%
Greenland remains with Denmark • 25%
Economic incentives • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No attempt made • 25%
Military coercion • 25%