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Market
Significant escalation in Ukraine-Russia conflict by December 25?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full-scale invasion by Ukraine • 33%
Full-scale invasion by Russia • 33%
Status quo with ongoing skirmishes • 34%
Official statements from Ukrainian or Russian military sources, verified news reports
Story
Ukrainian Drones Hit Russian Ammo Depot in Voronezh, 3,000 Shells Detonate
Jun 25, 2024, 07:39 AM
Ukraine's military intelligence reported a successful operation targeting a Russian ammunition depot in the Voronezh region. The attack, carried out by drones, struck two munitions warehouses in Olkhovatka, causing significant explosions that continued for hours. The depot, covering an area of 3,500 square meters, contained over 3,000 artillery shells. The explosions began around 3 a.m. and continued for at least seven hours. A state of emergency has been declared in the Olkhovatsky district as a result of the ongoing detonations. The site is located approximately 100km from the frontline.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Large-scale ground offensive • 33%
Increased aerial bombardment • 33%
Cyber-attacks • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
NATO declares war on Russia • 25%
US declares war on Russia • 25%
European country declares war on Russia • 25%
No major escalation • 25%
Donbas • 25%
Crimea • 25%
Chechnya • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
