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Market
Escalation in military actions between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2025?
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Mikhail Shatsky•Mars Design Bureau•Moscow•Kuzminsky•Kotelniki•Shatsky•Russian•Ukraine•Ukrainian•Russia
Resolution / Starting Odds
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Reports from credible news sources indicating an increase in military actions
Story
Russian Missile Designer Mikhail Shatsky Assassinated Near Moscow by Ukraine's GUR
Dec 12, 2024, 11:06 AM
Mikhail Shatsky, the Deputy Chief Designer and head of the software department at the Mars Design Bureau in Moscow, was reportedly assassinated in Kuzminsky forest park, Kotelniki, near Moscow. Shatsky was involved in upgrading Russian Kh-59 cruise missiles to the Kh-69 variant, which are used by Russian forces to strike Ukraine. Ukrainian military intelligence, specifically the GUR, has been implicated in the assassination, with sources claiming responsibility for the killing. The incident has sparked speculation about the involvement of Ukrainian special services in targeting key figures in Russia's military-industrial complex.
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Increased Russian troop presence • 25%
Introduction of new foreign troops • 25%
Use of advanced weaponry • 25%
No major escalation • 25%
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