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Will there be a significant escalation in the Ukraine-Russia conflict by the end of October 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Verified reports from international news agencies and official statements from Ukraine and Russia
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Ukrainian MiG-29 Strikes Russian Control Center in Kursk with AASM Hammer Bomb
Aug 20, 2024, 07:21 AM
The Ukrainian Air Force has conducted a series of precision strikes in Russia's Kursk Oblast, targeting Russian military infrastructure. A Ukrainian MiG-29 fighter jet successfully hit an underground Russian control center using a French AASM Hammer guided air bomb. This operation was part of ongoing military actions in the region, with videos released by the Ukrainian Air Force showcasing the strike. The commander of the Ukrainian Air Force, Mykola Oleshchuk, shared footage of the attack, emphasizing the effectiveness of the AASM-250 Hammer bomb. These strikes are indicative of the continued hostilities in the Ukraine-Russia conflict, with both sides engaging in military operations across the border.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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NATO declares war on Russia • 25%
US declares war on Russia • 25%
European country declares war on Russia • 25%
No major escalation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Aerial attacks • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Further military escalation • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
