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Market
Will the U.S. announce intention to withdraw from NATO by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from the U.S. government or statements from NATO
Story
Trump Threatens U.S. Exit from NATO Unless Allies Increase Financial Contributions, NBC News Reports
Dec 8, 2024, 02:51 PM
In a recent interview with NBC News, Donald Trump stated that the United States would consider withdrawing from NATO unless allied nations increase their financial contributions. Trump emphasized that if the allies are fulfilling their financial obligations and treating the U.S. fairly, he would remain committed to NATO. His comments reflect a growing concern over the financial disparities within the alliance, as Trump has previously criticized NATO members for not meeting their defense spending commitments. The remarks have raised alarms about the future of U.S. involvement in NATO amid ongoing global security challenges.
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Minimal response • 25%
Other • 25%
Strong condemnation • 25%
Calls for renegotiation • 25%
US increases involvement • 25%
US withdraws from NATO • 25%
US remains in NATO • 25%
US reduces involvement • 25%
U.S. threatens withdrawal • 25%
NATO restructuring proposed • 25%
Agreement on increased contributions • 25%
No significant changes • 25%