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Primary outcome of US-British airstrikes in Yemen by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Humanitarian crisis escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from major news agencies and official government statements
Story
US-British Airstrikes Target Sanaa and Hodeidah in Yemen
Oct 4, 2024, 02:52 PM
Yemen's Houthi Al Masirah TV reports that US-British airstrikes have targeted multiple locations in Yemen, including the south of Dhamar city, Hodeidah Airport, and areas in Sanaa. Residents and Houthi-affiliated TV outlets confirm strikes on Sanaa and western Hodeidah, indicating a coordinated military effort by the US and British forces in the region.
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Houthi military capabilities significantly reduced • 25%
No significant change in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Increased regional conflict • 25%
Ceasefire or peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
No significant change in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Increase in Houthi military actions • 25%
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Continued escalation • 25%
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Houthi retaliation • 25%
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Increased conflict • 25%
Decreased conflict • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Increased displacement • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
