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Outcome of U.S. military operations in Yemen by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military presence • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Official military reports or verified news reports
Story
US CENTCOM Conducts Airstrikes on Houthi Facilities in Sanaa, Yemen, Using F/A-18 Hornet Jets on December 21, 2024
Dec 21, 2024, 09:11 PM
On December 21, 2024, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) conducted precision airstrikes targeting missile storage and command-and-control facilities operated by the Iran-backed Houthi movement in Sanaa, Yemen. The operation was aimed at disrupting potential attacks on U.S. Navy vessels in the Red Sea. CENTCOM reported that during the strikes, U.S. forces successfully intercepted multiple Houthi drones and an anti-ship cruise missile. The airstrikes involved assets from both the U.S. Air Force and Navy, including F/A-18 Hornet fighter jets. This military action underscores ongoing tensions in the region and the U.S. commitment to safeguarding maritime navigation.
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Increased military tension • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
United States • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Humanitarian crisis escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanaa • 25%
Hodeidah • 25%
Dhamar • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in operations • 25%
Decrease in operations • 25%
No change • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Decreased conflict • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Houthi military bases • 25%
Houthi leadership • 25%
Supply routes • 25%
Other • 25%