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Market
Primary outcome of US and UK airstrikes on Houthi facilities by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Houthi military capabilities significantly reduced • 25%
No significant change in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Increased regional conflict • 25%
Ceasefire or peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Reports from the United Nations, credible news sources, and official statements from involved countries
Story
US, UK Airstrikes Target Houthi Facilities in Yemen, Including Sanaa
Nov 10, 2024, 03:55 AM
The United States and Britain have launched a series of airstrikes targeting Houthi positions in Yemen, including the capital, Sanaa, and other regions like Amran governorate. These military actions were confirmed by Houthi-affiliated media, including Al Masirah TV, and the Pentagon, which stated that the strikes were aimed at advanced weapons storage facilities. The US defense officials noted that these weapons had been used to attack military and civilian vessels in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden. The strikes included at least six raids in the Al-Nahdain and Al-Hafa areas of Sanaa.
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Increased military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Humanitarian crisis escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Houthi retaliation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
No significant change in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Increase in Houthi military actions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful deterrence • 25%
Limited success • 25%
No success • 25%
Increased attacks • 25%