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Outcome of U.S. airstrikes in Yemen by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military tension • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reports from international news agencies, official military statements, and diplomatic communications
Story
U.S. Strikes Iran-Backed Houthi Ministry Command Center in Sana'a
Dec 16, 2024, 10:36 PM
On December 16 Yemen time, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) announced that it conducted a precision airstrike targeting a key command and control facility operated by the Houthi Ministry of Defense in Sana'a, Yemen. The facility, within Houthi-controlled territory, was used for tracking and coordinating attacks on U.S. Navy ships and commercial vessels in the Southern Red Sea and Gulf of Aden.
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Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Houthi retaliation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
No significant change in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Increase in Houthi military actions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Humanitarian crisis escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Decreased conflict • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
