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Outcome of December 2024 airstrikes in Yemen by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased conflict • 25%
Decreased conflict • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies or official government statements
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US-British Airstrikes Target Yemeni Capital Sanaa on December 21, 2024 Amid Ongoing Conflict
Dec 21, 2024, 08:37 PM
Airstrikes targeting the Yemeni capital, Sanaa, have reportedly been conducted by a coalition of American and British forces. Multiple sources indicate that these airstrikes began in the evening of December 21, 2024, with Houthi-affiliated Al-Masirah TV confirming the attacks. The strikes are aimed at various locations within the city, which has been a focal point of conflict in Yemen. The situation remains fluid, with ongoing reports of military activity in the area.
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Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
No significant change in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Increase in Houthi military actions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
Continued escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Houthi retaliation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Humanitarian crisis escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Increased displacement • 25%
Worsening food security • 25%
Increased casualties • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Houthi military capabilities significantly reduced • 25%
No significant change in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Increased regional conflict • 25%
Ceasefire or peace negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Further drone attacks on Israel • 25%
Ground offensive against Israeli interests • 25%
Other forms of retaliation • 25%
