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Outcome of U.S. attempt to reassert control over Panama Canal by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. gains control • 25%
Fee reduction agreement • 25%
No change • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Official U.S. government actions, international treaties, or diplomatic agreements
Story
Trump Threatens to Reassert U.S. Control Over Panama Canal, Citing Exorbitant Fees and Alleged Chinese Involvement
Dec 28, 2024, 04:30 AM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has reignited controversy by expressing his intention to reassert American control over the Panama Canal, claiming that Panama has been charging exorbitant fees for its use. In a Christmas message, Trump accused Chinese soldiers of illegally operating the canal, a claim vehemently denied by Panama's President José Raúl Mulino, who emphasized that there is no Chinese interference in the canal's operations. Trump's remarks, made via his social media platform, have escalated tensions with Panama.
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Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Panama agrees • 25%
Panama rejects • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
US withdraws proposal • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. control • 25%
Panama rejects U.S. control • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Reclaim control • 25%
Increase military presence • 25%
Impose economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Demand return of the canal • 25%
Negotiate lower fees • 25%
Increase tariffs on Panama • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military presence increase • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%