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U.S. Strikes Iran-Backed Houthi Ministry Command Center in Sana'a

Dec 16, 2024, 10:36 PM

On December 16 Yemen time, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) announced that it conducted a precision airstrike targeting a key command and control facility operated by the Houthi Ministry of Defense in Sana'a, Yemen. The facility, within Houthi-controlled territory, was used for tracking and coordinating attacks on U.S. Navy ships and commercial vessels in the Southern Red Sea and Gulf of Aden.

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Houthi retaliation attack on U.S. Navy ship by February 29, 2025?

Houthi Ministry of Defense•Yemen•Houthi•Southern Red Sea•Gulf of Aden

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Reports from international news agencies or official military statements confirming an attack

U.N. resolution condemning U.S. airstrike in Yemen by January 31, 2025?

Houthi Ministry of Defense•Yemen•Houthi•Southern Red Sea•Gulf of Aden

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official U.N. press releases or records of U.N. Security Council meetings

U.S. to conduct another airstrike in Yemen by March 31, 2025?

Houthi Ministry of Defense•Yemen•Houthi•Southern Red Sea•Gulf of Aden

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense or CENTCOM press releases

Impact on commercial shipping in Gulf of Aden by April 30, 2025?

Houthi Ministry of Defense•Yemen•Houthi•Southern Red Sea•Gulf of Aden

Resolution / Starting Odds

No significant impact • 25%

Increased shipping insurance rates • 25%

Heightened security measures • 25%

Reduced shipping traffic • 25%

Reports from international shipping companies and maritime security updates

Outcome of U.S. airstrikes in Yemen by June 30, 2025?

Houthi Ministry of Defense•Yemen•Houthi•Southern Red Sea•Gulf of Aden

Resolution / Starting Odds

No significant change • 25%

Increased military tension • 25%

Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%

Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%

Reports from international news agencies, official military statements, and diplomatic communications

Public condemnation of U.S. airstrike in Yemen by February 28, 2025?

Houthi Ministry of Defense•Yemen•Houthi•Southern Red Sea•Gulf of Aden

Resolution / Starting Odds

Iran • 25%

European Union • 25%

None of the above • 25%

Russia • 25%

Official statements or press releases from international governments or organizations