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Outcome of Israel-Hamas ceasefire negotiations by March 4, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful extension of ceasefire • 25%
Resumption of hostilities • 25%
Partial agreement with limited hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire ends with no agreement • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or international news agencies
Story
Netanyahu Declares Gaza Ceasefire Temporary, Aims to Free 33 Hostages in 42-Day Phase
Jan 18, 2025, 06:38 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has declared that the ceasefire agreement with Hamas in Gaza is temporary, and Israel reserves the right to resume hostilities if necessary, with the backing of the U.S. Netanyahu stated that both U.S. President Joe Biden and President-elect Donald Trump have assured Israel of their support in returning to war if negotiations on the second phase of the deal prove futile. The 42-day first phase of the ceasefire, set to begin on Sunday, is intended to facilitate the release of 33 Israeli hostages in exchange for Palestinian prisoners. Netanyahu emphasized Israel's commitment to achieving all war objectives and ensuring the safety of its citizens, while also promising to bring back all hostages held in Gaza.
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Renewed hostilities • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial ceasefire with conditions • 25%
Permanent ceasefire agreed • 25%
Temporary ceasefire agreed • 25%
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Ceasefire Talks Suspended • 25%
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Minor violations occur • 25%
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Ceasefire collapses • 25%
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Hostage release deal only • 25%
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Ceasefire and hostages release agreed • 25%
Ceasefire only agreed • 25%
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Ceasefire ends with renewed conflict • 25%
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Ceasefire extended • 25%
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Ceasefire holds with full compliance • 25%
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