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Outcome of Israel-Hamas ceasefire negotiations by June 30, 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire with conditions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Renewed hostilities • 25%
Official announcements from Israeli or Hamas leadership or reputable news sources like Reuters or BBC
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Hamas Agrees to Swap 34 Hostages for Palestinian Prisoners in Ceasefire Talks
Jan 5, 2025, 06:02 PM
Palestinian militant group Hamas has approved a list of 34 hostages presented by Israel to be exchanged for Palestinian prisoners in a potential ceasefire agreement, according to a Hamas official cited by Reuters on Sunday. The official stated that any deal would depend on Israel agreeing to withdraw its forces from Gaza and establish a permanent ceasefire. This development comes after previous obstacles in negotiations over the number and names of hostages to be released. Hamas had previously insisted that a ceasefire must precede any exchange discussions. Israeli sources confirmed that while Hamas has 'approved' the list, the group has not clarified how many of the hostages are alive or who among them is alive. Negotiations are ongoing as both sides work towards reaching an agreement.
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Other • 25%
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