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Will U.S.-North Korea diplomatic relations resume at the ambassadorial level in 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. State Department or North Korean government
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Trump Plans to Reach Out to North Korea's Kim Jong Un Again, Calls Him 'Smart Guy'
Jan 24, 2025, 06:49 AM
U.S. President Donald Trump has expressed his intention to reach out to North Korean leader Kim Jong Un again, describing him as a 'smart guy' during an interview with Fox News. Trump, who met with Kim three times during his first term, indicated a willingness to re-engage diplomatically with the North Korean leader. These meetings took place in Singapore in June 2018, Hanoi in February 2019, and at the inter-Korean border village of Panmunjom in June 2019. Trump's comments suggest a potential continuation of his summit diplomacy with Kim, despite the lack of progress on denuclearization during his first term.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other form of engagement • 25%
No engagement • 25%
Bilateral talks • 25%
Summit meeting • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
South Korea • 25%
China • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
Talks canceled • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
New conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Economic sanctions lifted • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Denuclearization agreement • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%