Market
Will North Korea and the U.S. engage in direct diplomatic talks by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the governments of North Korea or the United States
Story
North Korea Test-Fires Submarine-Launched Cruise Missiles, Vows 'Toughest Counteraction' Against U.S.
Jan 25, 2025, 09:47 PM
North Korea test-fired submarine-launched strategic cruise missiles on Saturday, with leader Kim Jong Un personally overseeing the launch, according to state media KCNA. The missiles flew along elliptical and figure-eight flight paths, covering a distance of approximately 1,500 kilometers over a duration of 7,507 to 7,511 seconds. North Korea's Foreign Ministry stated that the country will take the 'toughest counteraction' as long as the United States refuses to accept its sovereignty.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Talks postponed • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Talks canceled • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Russia • 25%
South Korea • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
China • 25%
South Korea • 25%
United States • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Talks stalled • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Denuclearization agreement • 25%
Economic sanctions lifted • 25%
