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Will North Korea and the US engage in direct diplomatic talks by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the US State Department or North Korean government
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North Korea Tests Strategic Cruise Missiles Supervised by Kim Jong Un, Covering 1,500 km
Jan 25, 2025, 09:28 PM
North Korea conducted a test of sea-to-surface strategic cruise guided missiles on January 25, 2025, as reported by state media KCNA. The missiles traveled elliptical and eight-shaped flight paths for a duration of 7,507 to 7,511 seconds, covering a distance of 1,500 kilometers before hitting their targets. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un personally supervised the test, which was described as part of efforts to enhance the country's war deterrence capabilities. Kim emphasized the importance of improving military power to ensure lasting peace and stability. The launch reportedly did not impact the security of neighboring countries. Kim also stated that 'as long as the US refuses our sovereignty, we will respond with extreme hardline measures.' The country's official name, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK), was referenced in the announcement.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Talks stalled • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
South Korea • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
China • 25%
South Korea • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks canceled • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Bilateral talks • 25%
Summit meeting • 25%
No engagement • 25%
Other form of engagement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
