Market
Will Trump initiate a Middle East peace process within first 100 days?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official White House press releases or major international news outlets
Story
Trump Vows to End Ukraine War in 24 Hours, Address Middle East Chaos and Prevent World War III
Jan 19, 2025, 11:15 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has pledged to end the war in Ukraine quickly, a promise he made during his campaign. He stated he would resolve the conflict within 24 hours of his inauguration or even before taking office. However, as his inauguration approaches, his team is facing the complexities of the ongoing conflict. Trump has also vowed to stop the chaos in the Middle East and prevent World War III, emphasizing the urgency of these global issues at a rally at Capital One Arena, where he received loud cheers.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No change in conflict status • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No major action • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic initiative • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Leads to further peace agreements • 25%
Increases tensions • 25%